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RallyArtist - Technical Analysis
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RallyArtist



Joined: 04 Jul 2007
Posts: 6122

PostPosted: Sat Jul 21, 2007 4:19 am    Post subject: RallyArtist - Technical Analysis Reply with quote

Welcome to RallyArtist Blog!

Feel free to discuss and share your analysis here. Wish all readers a fabulous year ahead!

Stocks make most gains after deep correction or consolidation. Best time to buy is when they dead.

Stocks stronger than index are candidates to long. Stocks weaker than index are candidates to short.


Last edited by RallyArtist on Wed Jan 13, 2010 9:06 pm; edited 95 times in total
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RallyArtist



Joined: 04 Jul 2007
Posts: 6122

PostPosted: Sat Jul 21, 2007 5:15 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Was expecting SESDAQ today to open high but close lower than opening. This means there'll be good rallies for stocks in the morning before dropping due to profit taking. So I start building the portfolio below after 11am, where rallied prices have dropped to safer levels for buying. In the meantime, can see which are the strong ones which don't retrace to opening price. Previously sold all my shares on Wed 330pm to cut loss from the sell-out.

APOIL - bought at 0.400, gap up break R at 0.365

ARMARDA - bought at 0.390, gap up rest on R at 0.390

AUSGROUP - bought at 1.930, bounce from S at 1.770

CSPORTS - bought at 1.610, intraday cup and handle

COSCO - bought at 5.050, break flag formation at 4.880

HLG - bought at 0.530, continue rally after filling gap up

JADE - bought at 0.475, gap up close higher than Thu

LABROY - bought at 2.680, gap up break R at 2.650

LIANBENG - bought at 0.510, gap up break R at 0.495

MULTI-CON - bought at 0.460, gap up break R at 0.400

SYNEAR - bought at 1.950, bounce from S at 1.950, flag

STRAITS - bought at 1.520, gap up break R at 1.470

WANXIANG - bought at 0.480, sold at 0.572, strong intraday


Noticed WANXIANG from top gainer just before lunch. Saw from intraday chart that unlike usual rallies, when this counter chiong, it retrace just a little bit, suggesting strong buyers present. Never heard of this stock before, no trading chart to see also. Nevertheless bought at 0.455. Later found out from a friend it has just IPO.

When it rally after 4pm, I added at 0.530, only half my original bet. This is to make sure even if it fall quite a bit, I would still make money. Sold some at 0.575 when I see buying momentum decrease. Sold remaining at 0.570 when retracement is too much. So.. 19% profits from this bet. A pleasant weekend gift Wink

As for rest of 12 counters, the profits made is just nice to cover the commission charges for their buy and sell transactions (later next week).
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sessam



Joined: 31 Aug 2006
Posts: 3219

PostPosted: Sat Jul 21, 2007 10:41 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Interesting people we are now attracting to this webby. Rally artist are you sure you are only a 3 month novice? What you are practising comes from years of " paid lessons " in the market for most. Good luck.
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takumikoh



Joined: 09 Jul 2007
Posts: 412

PostPosted: Sat Jul 21, 2007 10:42 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

RallyArtist wrote:
Was expecting SESDAQ today to open high but close lower than opening. This means there'll be good rallies for stocks in the morning before dropping due to profit taking. So I start building the portfolio below after 11am, where rallied prices have dropped to safer levels for buying. In the meantime, can see which are the strong ones which don't retrace to opening price. Previously sold all my shares on Wed 330pm to cut loss from the sell-out.

APOIL - bought at 0.400, gap up break R at 0.365

ARMARDA - bought at 0.390, gap up rest on R at 0.390

AUSGROUP - bought at 1.930, bounce from S at 1.770

CSPORTS - bought at 1.610, intraday cup and handle

COSCO - bought at 5.050, break flag formation at 4.880

HLG - bought at 0.530, continue rally after filling gap up

JADE - bought at 0.475, gap up close higher than Thu

LABROY - bought at 2.680, gap up break R at 2.650

LIANBENG - bought at 0.510, gap up break R at 0.495

MULTI-CON - bought at 0.460, gap up break R at 0.400

SYNEAR - bought at 1.950, bounce from S at 1.950, flag

STRAITS - bought at 1.520, gap up break R at 1.470

WANXIANG - bought at 0.480, sold at 0.572, strong intraday


Noticed WANXIANG from top gainer just before lunch. Saw from intraday chart that unlike usual rallies, when this counter chiong, it retrace just a little bit, suggesting strong buyers present. Never heard of this stock before, no trading chart to see also. Nevertheless bought at 0.455. Later found out from a friend it has just IPO.

When it rally after 4pm, I added at 0.530, only half my original bet. This is to make sure even if it fall quite a bit, I would still make money. Sold some at 0.575 when I see buying momentum decrease. Sold remaining at 0.570 when retracement is too much. So.. 19% profits from this bet. A pleasant weekend gift Wink

As for rest of 12 counters, the profits made is just nice to cover the commission charges for their buy and sell transactions (later next week).


So bro ralliartist...wat's ur view on Ausgroup's TA? Do u think it can keep up the uptrend?......Thanks in advance!
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hybridvestor



Joined: 19 Jun 2005
Posts: 14941
Location: 命里有时终需有, 命里无时莫强求 (許冠傑 - 浪子心聲)

PostPosted: Sat Jul 21, 2007 10:49 am    Post subject: Re: RallyArtist - Trading for a Living Reply with quote

RallyArtist wrote:
Welcome to RallyArtist's Trading Blog

This blog is meant for beginners like RallyArtist to learn and grow together, thru sharing trading ideas and objective discussions.

A beginner of 3 months, RallyArtist is a contra trader who seeks to maximize profits using limited capital. He trades both penny stocks and bluechips, as long good profit margins are there. He seeks to accomplish this by timing the market using TA, while controlling risks in a systematic manner. With some unforseen circumstances, RallyArtist recently quit his IT job to be a full-time home trader. He hopes to keep things simple in this blog so beginners can easily understand and learn from one another.

Please feel free to post any comments for discussion. This's a beginner's thread and all posts are purely personal opinions. RallyArtist will not be responsible for any losses incurred. But any gains made he will gladly accept Wink


RallyArtist,

Great to see your decision and determination to go after what you like to do ... just like Joshing and many others here .....

This is something that I must learn from you but I may not proactively achieve .... Very Happy

Wishing you all the best and keep the good posting through .... Very Happy

.
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ccloh



Joined: 18 Jul 2005
Posts: 14640

PostPosted: Sat Jul 21, 2007 12:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

one time open so many position, if you encounter another wed selldown and with the SGX system jam again, you think you can cut off in time for all the counters. it is not that you punt on many counters and you will win big, sometime you just need to catch a few and they could bring you the max profit already.
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ccloh



Joined: 18 Jul 2005
Posts: 14640

PostPosted: Sat Jul 21, 2007 12:40 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

i just have a comment on synear. technically it is like doing an ascending triangle and problem is not sure when the breakout. on the other hand it is range bound between 1.89 - 1.98 while completing the ascending triangle. if you are thinking of contra, you kind of getting at the high end of the range already. very little meat for you to eat during the contra period.
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RallyArtist



Joined: 04 Jul 2007
Posts: 6122

PostPosted: Sat Jul 21, 2007 2:32 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

sessam wrote:
Interesting people we are now attracting to this webby. Rally artist are you sure you are only a 3 month novice? What you are practising comes from years of " paid lessons " in the market for most. Good luck.


Thanks sessam.. Razz

Really haha.. Bought my first stock SGX when it was 6.15.. (sold long ago, REGRET NOW) It was pretty tough in my first 2 months, sleeping 4h nights, just to do homework at night after coming back from work. I also lost 50% of my capital (all borrowed from bank) in the first 2 months. At that time I'm still trading based on feel. Apparently not a good strategy.

Things began to turn around in the 3rd month when I open KE account and started drawing lines using its charting tool. Vickers can't draw anything. That's when I began to like TA. Now I'm reaching the end of 4th month. With some blessings I recoup first 2 months losses and also made 82.7% profits.

Posting figures here not to show off, I believe experts in CNA can do much better. But to encourage beginners like myself not to give up. Trade cautiously with your capital and make sure you don't lose it. There'll come a day when your trades start to turn green =)
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RallyArtist



Joined: 04 Jul 2007
Posts: 6122

PostPosted: Sat Jul 21, 2007 2:54 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hi takumikoh,

AUSGROUP has been an amazing counter.. It looks bullish for now.

For Mon, primary support at 1.960. If drop below this, secondary support at 1.790. Primary resistance is 2.030. If breakthru it, secondary resistance at 2.250. So you can aim for a target price slightly below those resistances.

Even thou individual stock charts is impt, to me, the most impt factor determining the performance of your stocks is how the general greater market moves. I usually look at how SESDAQ and STI moves before looking into individual counters' charts. And finally making decisions whether to buy/sell bluechips or penny stocks.

I tend to associate AUSGROUP's movements with SESDAQ rather than STI. SESDAQ looks bullish next week, recovering from Wed sell-out. Penny counters should do well next week. However, on Mon STI will be testing its 4-year resistance line at 3675. So we just have to trade flexibly, because if STI bang, SESDAQ also can't escape. The big drop in US on Fri night is another cause for concern.
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RallyArtist



Joined: 04 Jul 2007
Posts: 6122

PostPosted: Sat Jul 21, 2007 2:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanks thanks hybridvestor..

Haha I not so hero la, to quit and do full-time. Just that stg unexpected happen back home so I sort of have to work from home.

Yeah let everyone here huat tgt! Laughing
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